Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Marrakech (Morocco), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 April 2024, Friday

Referee: Lahyani M. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Finland	MTV Urheilu
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	Sport TV5
Romania	Prima Sport 3
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Fabio Fognini		Pavel Kotov

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.1	1.72	Watch
	2.1	1.72	Watch
	2.16	1.78
	2.16	1.78
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.14	1.72	Watch
	2.13	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.28)	1.73 ↑ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fabio Fognini
44.7%

Pavel Kotov
55.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fabio Fognini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Pavel Kotov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fabio Fognini than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.2%	0%	10.8%

Fabio Fognini - Pavel Kotov Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Fognini will win (votes: 33 - 89.2%). Kotov will win (votes: 4 - 10.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fognini: 79.2% – 99.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Fognini is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Kotov is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fognini could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fabio Fognini
ATP Marrakech
03.04.24	Laslo Djere - Fabio Fognini	1:2 ✺
02.04.24	Fabio Fognini - Hugo Gaston	2:1 ✺
01.04.24	Fabio Fognini - Lucas Miedler	2:1 ✺
31.03.24	Fabio Fognini - Mathias Bourgue	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.03.24	Fabio Fognini - Arthur Gea	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWWL
- Pavel Kotov
ATP Marrakech
03.04.24	Pavel Kotov - Flavio Cobolli	2:0 ✺
01.04.24	Pavel Kotov - Elliot Benchetrit	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
20.03.24	Pavel Kotov - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.24	Pavel Kotov - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
26.02.24	Pavel Kotov - Sebastian Korda	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLLL

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