Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Carnac, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 May 2026, Tuesday


	Daniel Jade		Lucas Poullain

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	2.99	1.4
	2.71	1.39
	2.75	1.36
	2.81	1.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↓ (3.38)	1.38 ↑ (1.31)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Jade
32.9%

Lucas Poullain
67.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

72.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

71%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Jade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Lucas Poullain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Jade than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucas Poullain than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Daniel Jade - Lucas Poullain Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Jade is ranked ATP: 1442. Poullain is ranked ATP: 384.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Jade may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Poullain is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Jade won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Lucas Poullain - the odds 1.31 are the expected chance of winning is 72.07%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Jade
ATP Roland Garros
20.05.26	August Holmgren - Daniel Jade	2:0 ✺
18.05.26	Daniel Evans - Daniel Jade	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.05.26	Daniel Jade - Elias Ymer	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
08.05.26	Daniel Jade - Iliyan Radulov	0:2 ✺
07.05.26	Dan Added - Daniel Jade	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWLLW
- Lucas Poullain
ATP Challenger
19.05.26	Lucas Poullain - Mili Poljicak	0:2 ✺
18.05.26	Lucas Poullain - Vladyslav Orlov	2:1 ✺
17.05.26	Lucas Poullain - Michal Krajci	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
15.05.26	Lucas Poullain - Lilian Marmousez	1:2 ✺
14.05.26	Lucas Poullain - Eric Vanshelboim	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
15.06.25	Lucas Poullain - Daniel Jade	2:1

Daniel Jade - Lucas Poullain: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide