The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Daniel Merida Aguilar 38.6%
Pol Martin Tiffon 61.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.9%
56.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.2%
53.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Daniel Merida Aguilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Daniel Merida Aguilar's form might have worsened.
Pol Martin Tiffon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pol Martin Tiffon's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Daniel Merida Aguilar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pol Martin Tiffon than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pol Martin Tiffon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
7.1%
0%
92.9%
Daniel Merida Aguilar - Pol Martin Tiffon Predictions
Users Predictions:
Pol Martin Tiffon will win
(12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%). Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 314.Martin Tiffon is ranked ATP: 243.
Recent matches Merida Aguilar is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Martin Tiffon is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Merida Aguilar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Martin Tiffon will have a mini benefit in this match.
Our prediction for today's Martin Tiffon to win the game is with odds 1.52.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Merida Aguilar won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Pol Martin Tiffon - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 56.12%, but this team recently wins 83% of matches with these odds.
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