Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Zug, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 July 2025, Tuesday


	Daniel Merida Aguilar		Marc-Andrea Huesler

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	2.07	1.67	Watch
	2.1	1.76
	1.99	1.76	Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.08	1.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.67)	1.69 ↓ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Merida Aguilar
44.9%

Marc-Andrea Huesler
55.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Merida Aguilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Daniel Merida Aguilar's form might have worsened.

Marc-Andrea Huesler has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marc-Andrea Huesler's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Daniel Merida Aguilar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marc-Andrea Huesler than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marc-Andrea Huesler, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Daniel Merida Aguilar - Marc Andrea Huesler Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Merida Aguilar will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Huesler will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Huesler: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Huesler (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 233. Huesler is ranked ATP: 170.

Merida Aguilar is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Huesler has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Merida Aguilar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Daniel Merida Aguilar - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 55.7%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Merida Aguilar
ATP Challenger
20.07.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Fajing Sun	2:0 ✺
19.07.25	Oliver Crawford - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
18.07.25	Johannus Monday - Daniel Merida Aguilar	1:2 ✺
16.07.25	Rafael Jodar - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
14.07.25	Robin Bertrand - Daniel Merida Aguilar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWWWW
- Marc-Andrea Huesler
ATP Gstaad
12.07.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Marc-Andrea Huesler	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
23.06.25	Valentin Royer - Marc-Andrea Huesler	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.06.25	James Kent Trotter - Marc-Andrea Huesler	2:1 ✺
ATP Stuttgart
08.06.25	Beibit Zhukayev - Marc-Andrea Huesler	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.06.25	Marc-Andrea Huesler - Otto Virtanen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Daniel Merida Aguilar - Marc-Andrea Huesler: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide