Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Pozoblanco, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 July 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Pozoblanco 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Johannus Monday		Daniel Merida Aguilar

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	2	1.72	Watch
	1.85	1.8	Watch
	1.9	1.96
	3.54	1.27	Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.89	1.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2)	1.73 ↓ (1.74)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Johannus Monday
44.7%

Daniel Merida Aguilar
55.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.5%

53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Johannus Monday has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Daniel Merida Aguilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Johannus Monday than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Johannus Monday - Daniel Merida Aguilar Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Monday will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Merida Aguilar will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Monday (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Merida Aguilar (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Monday is ranked ATP: 227. Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 233.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Monday may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Johannus Monday
ATP Challenger
16.07.25	Johannus Monday - Matias Soto	2:0 ✺
15.07.25	Johannus Monday - Fabrizio Andaloro	2:0 ✺
08.07.25	Edward Winter - Johannus Monday	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.25	Johannus Monday - Tommy Paul	0:3 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
22.06.25	Johannus Monday - James Duckworth	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WWLLL
- Daniel Merida Aguilar
ATP Challenger
16.07.25	Rafael Jodar - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
14.07.25	Robin Bertrand - Daniel Merida Aguilar	1:2 ✺
02.07.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Federico Cina	0:2 ✺
30.06.25	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
20.06.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Titouan Droguet	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWLWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Johannus Monday
ITF Tournaments
30.10.26	Liam Hignett - Johannus Monday

Johannus Monday - Daniel Merida Aguilar