Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max


	Daniel Merida Aguilar		Marton Fucsovics

	1	2
	1.20	4.50	Watch
	1.20	4.40
	1.21	4.50
	1.22	4.96
	1.21	4.18	Watch
	1.20	4.75
	1.23	4.34	Watch
	1.21	4.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.32)	4.52 ↑ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 34.50

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Merida Aguilar
78.9%

Marton Fucsovics
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.2%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.2%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Merida Aguilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daniel Merida Aguilar's performance.

Marton Fucsovics has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marton Fucsovics might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniel Merida Aguilar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marton Fucsovics than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marton Fucsovics could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Daniel Merida Aguilar - Marton Fucsovics Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Merida Aguilar will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Fucsovics will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 39. Fucsovics is ranked ATP: 121.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Fucsovics may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Merida Aguilar is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Merida Aguilar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Merida Aguilar
ATP Cincinnati
18.08.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:0 ✺
16.08.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Zizou Bergs	2:0 ✺
14.08.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Marin Cilic	2:1 ✺
ATP Montreal
11.08.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Learner Tien	0:2 ✺
09.08.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWWLW
- Marton Fucsovics
ATP Winston-Salem
24.08.26	Roman Safiullin - Marton Fucsovics	Canceled ✺
ATP Cincinnati
13.08.26	Marton Fucsovics - Terence Atmane	Fucsovics M. Retired ✺
ATP Montreal
03.08.26	Marton Fucsovics - Corentin Moutet	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
03.07.26	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Marton Fucsovics	3:0 ✺
01.07.26	Marton Fucsovics - Learner Tien	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 ??LLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Madrid
30.04.22	Marton Fucsovics - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:0

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