Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Cincinnati 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Daniel Merida Aguilar		Zizou Bergs

	1	2
	1.80	2.00	Watch
	1.72	2.10
	1.80	2.00	Watch
	1.83	2.19
	1.79	2.03	Watch
	1.57	2.40
	1.71	2.17	Watch
	1.75	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.8)	2.12 ↑ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 0.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Merida Aguilar
54.8%

Zizou Bergs
45.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.5%

47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Merida Aguilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Zizou Bergs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zizou Bergs than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Daniel Merida Aguilar - Zizou Bergs Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Merida Aguilar will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 40. Bergs is ranked ATP: 33.

Merida Aguilar is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Bergs has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Bergs may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Zizou Bergs - the odds 1.99 are the expected chance of winning is 47.49%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Merida Aguilar
ATP Cincinnati
14.08.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Marin Cilic	2:1 ✺
ATP Montreal
11.08.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Learner Tien	0:2 ✺
09.08.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
07.08.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Alex Michelsen	2:1 ✺
05.08.26	Ugo Humbert - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WLWWW
- Zizou Bergs
ATP Montreal
07.08.26	Zizou Bergs - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
05.08.26	Zizou Bergs - Sebastian Baez	2:1 ✺
ATP Washington
27.07.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Zizou Bergs	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
04.07.26	Zizou Bergs - Arthur Fery	2:3 ✺
02.07.26	Zizou Bergs - Jaime Faria	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLLW

Daniel Merida Aguilar - Zizou Bergs