Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Barletta - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 31 March 2025, Monday


	Lilian Marmousez		Andrea Picchione

	1	2
			Watch
	1.53	2.3	Watch
	1.63	2.15	Watch
	1.65	2.16	Watch
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.63	2.19	Watch
	1.63	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.41)	2.22 ↓ (2.72)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lilian Marmousez
58.1%

Andrea Picchione
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.8%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.7%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lilian Marmousez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lilian Marmousez's form might have worsened.

Andrea Picchione has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Andrea Picchione's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lilian Marmousez than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lilian Marmousez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Picchione than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Andrea Picchione, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Lilian Marmousez - Andrea Picchione Predictions

Users Predictions: Lilian Marmousez will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Marmousez is ranked ATP: 398. Picchione is ranked ATP: 357.

Marmousez in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Picchione is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Marmousez could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Marmousez will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Marmousez to win the game is with odds 1.55.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lilian Marmousez
ATP Challenger
30.03.25	Andrej Martin - Lilian Marmousez	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.03.25	Lilian Marmousez - Filippo Romano	Marmousez L. retired ✺
27.03.25	Lilian Marmousez - Andrea Motta	2:0 ✺
26.03.25	Lilian Marmousez - Giannicola Misasi	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.03.25	Lilian Marmousez - Marko Topo	Marmousez L. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 W?WW?
- Andrea Picchione
ITF Tournaments
27.03.25	Andrea Picchione - Emilien Demanet	1:2 ✺
26.03.25	Andrea Picchione - Maximilian Figl	2:0 ✺
20.03.25	Andrea Picchione - Andrey Chepelev	1:2 ✺
19.03.25	Andrea Picchione - Dali Blanch	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.03.25	Andrea Picchione - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLWL

Lilian Marmousez - Andrea Picchione: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide