Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Zagreb - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday


	Daniel Michalski		Mirza Basic

	1	2
			Watch
	1.59	2.18	Watch
	1.55	2.25	Watch
	1.69	2.13
	1.7	2.08	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.69	2.1	Watch
	1.55	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.85)	2.16 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Michalski
56.9%

Mirza Basic
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Michalski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daniel Michalski's performance.

Mirza Basic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mirza Basic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Michalski than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirza Basic than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Daniel Michalski - Mirza Basic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Michalski is ranked ATP: 319. Basic is ranked ATP: 520.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Michalski might have a minor edge in this game.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Mirza Basic - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Michalski
ATP Challenger
27.04.25	Jan Klimas - Daniel Michalski	Michalski D. retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.04.25	Daniel Michalski - Luka Mikrut	0:2 ✺
12.04.25	Moise Kouame - Daniel Michalski	1:2 ✺
11.04.25	Alexey Vatutin - Daniel Michalski	1:2 ✺
10.04.25	Evgenii Tiurnev - Daniel Michalski	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 ?LWWW
- Mirza Basic
ATP Challenger
27.04.25	Mirza Basic - Dennis Novak	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.04.25	Mirza Basic - Dali Blanch	0:2 ✺
16.04.25	Michael Vrbensky - Mirza Basic	0:2 ✺
15.04.25	Mirza Basic - Stefan Palosi	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.03.25	Mirza Basic - Filip Cristian Jianu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWWL

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