Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali 2 (Rwanda), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 March 2025, Thursday


	Daniel Michalski		Marco Cecchinato

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.35	1.53	Watch
	2.8	1.37	Watch
	2.54	1.54
	2.42	1.54	Watch
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.51	1.49	Watch
	2.8	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.17)	1.46 ↓ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Michalski
35.7%

Marco Cecchinato
64.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

57.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

61.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Michalski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Daniel Michalski's form might have worsened.

Marco Cecchinato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marco Cecchinato's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Michalski than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marco Cecchinato than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Daniel Michalski - Marco Cecchinato Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Michalski will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Cecchinato will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cecchinato: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Michalski is ranked ATP: 334. Cecchinato is ranked ATP: 380.

At the moment players are feeling good and ready to play.

Cecchinato could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Cecchinato will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Cecchinato to win the game is with odds 1.53.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Michalski won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Michalski
ATP Challenger
04.03.25	Filip Cristian Jianu - Daniel Michalski	1:2 ✺
03.03.25	Daniel Michalski - Facundo Juarez	2:1 ✺
02.03.25	Daniel Michalski - Sebastian Prechtel	2:0 ✺
24.02.25	Daniel Michalski - Neil Oberleitner	0:2 ✺
23.02.25	Daniel Michalski - Etienne Niyigena	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWLW
- Marco Cecchinato
ATP Challenger
04.03.25	Marco Cecchinato - Ivan Gakhov	2:0 ✺
28.02.25	Valentin Royer - Marco Cecchinato	2:1 ✺
27.02.25	Lukas Neumayer - Marco Cecchinato	1:2 ✺
26.02.25	Marco Cecchinato - Carlos Taberner	2:0 ✺
25.02.25	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Marco Cecchinato	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
27.09.22	Marco Cecchinato - Daniel Michalski	2:0

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