Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Baton Rouge, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 February 2026, Tuesday


	Daniel Milavsky		Keegan Smith

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.3	1.52	Watch
	2.31	1.62
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.27	1.56	Watch
	2.35	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.72)	1.55 ↑ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Milavsky
40.1%

Keegan Smith
59.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

66%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Milavsky has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daniel Milavsky's performance.

Keegan Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Keegan Smith might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Milavsky than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keegan Smith than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Daniel Milavsky - Keegan Smith Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Milavsky will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Smith will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Milavsky is ranked ATP: 441. Smith is ranked ATP: 338.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Smith may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Smith is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Milavsky won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Milavsky
ATP Challenger
06.02.26	Daniel Milavsky - Joshua Sheehy	1:2 ✺
04.02.26	Dan Martin - Daniel Milavsky	0:2 ✺
02.02.26	Daniel Milavsky - Kaylan Bigun	2:0 ✺
28.01.26	Sebastian Korda - Daniel Milavsky	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.01.26	Quinn Vandecasteele - Daniel Milavsky	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWWLL
- Keegan Smith
ATP Challenger
07.02.26	Keegan Smith - Colton Smith	0:2 ✺
06.02.26	Stefan Kozlov - Keegan Smith	0:2 ✺
04.02.26	Keegan Smith - Antoine Ghibaudo	2:0 ✺
03.02.26	Tyler Zink - Keegan Smith	1:2 ✺
29.01.26	Keegan Smith - Zachary Svajda	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
09.01.26	Keegan Smith - Daniel Milavsky	2:1

Daniel Milavsky - Keegan Smith: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide