Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cleveland, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Cleveland 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Finland	20:30	Veikkaus TV


	Keegan Smith		Colton Smith

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.55	1.45
	2.79	1.49
	2.55	1.46	Watch
	2.5	1.5
	2.47	1.48	Watch
	2.3	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.09)	1.48 ↓ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Keegan Smith
36.9%

Colton Smith
63.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.2%

55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

56.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keegan Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Keegan Smith's form might have worsened.

Colton Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Colton Smith's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keegan Smith than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Keegan Smith, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colton Smith than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Colton Smith, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Keegan Smith - Colton Smith Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Smith is ranked ATP: 338. Smith is ranked ATP: 161.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Colton Smith - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 55.81%, but this team recently wins 89% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keegan Smith
ATP Challenger
06.02.26	Stefan Kozlov - Keegan Smith	0:2 ✺
04.02.26	Keegan Smith - Antoine Ghibaudo	2:0 ✺
03.02.26	Tyler Zink - Keegan Smith	1:2 ✺
29.01.26	Keegan Smith - Zachary Svajda	0:2 ✺
28.01.26	Raphael Perot - Keegan Smith	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWWLW
- Colton Smith
ATP Challenger
06.02.26	Stefan Dostanic - Colton Smith	0:2 ✺
05.02.26	Ben Jones - Colton Smith	0:2 ✺
03.02.26	Cannon Kingsley - Colton Smith	1:2 ✺
30.01.26	Patrick Kypson - Colton Smith	2:0 ✺
29.01.26	Blaise Bicknell - Colton Smith	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWWLW

Keegan Smith - Colton Smith

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Keegan Smith - Colton Smith Predictions

Preview

Last Results with these Odds

Form

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