Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mallorca, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday


	Daniel Rincon		Harold Mayot

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.4	1.5	Watch
	2.7	1.4	Watch
	2.87	1.45
	2.80	1.42	Watch
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.73	1.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.28)	1.45 ↓ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Rincon
35.2%

Harold Mayot
64.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

59.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Rincon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Daniel Rincon's form might have worsened.

Harold Mayot has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Harold Mayot's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Rincon than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harold Mayot than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Daniel Rincon - Harold Mayot Predictions

Users Predictions: Harold Mayot will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rincon is ranked ATP: 287. Mayot is ranked ATP: 152.

Rincon has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Mayot is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Rincon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Mayot will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Mayot will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rincon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Harold Mayot - the odds 1.58 are the expected chance of winning is 59.14%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Rincon
ATP Challenger
29.08.25	Daniel Rincon - Miguel Tobon	2:1 ✺
28.08.25	Hamish Stewart - Daniel Rincon	1:2 ✺
27.08.25	Abedallah Shelbayh - Daniel Rincon	1:2 ✺
19.08.25	Daniel Rincon - Marco Cecchinato	0:2 ✺
13.08.25	Sebastian Gima - Daniel Rincon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWLL
- Harold Mayot
ATP Challenger
29.08.25	Harold Mayot - Stuart Parker	Parker S. retired ✺
28.08.25	Harold Mayot - Adria Soriano Barrera	2:0 ✺
26.08.25	Harold Mayot - George Loffhagen	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
21.08.25	Jesper De Jong - Harold Mayot	2:1 ✺
18.08.25	Johannus Monday - Harold Mayot	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 ?WWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
29.04.25	Harold Mayot - Daniel Rincon	0:2

Daniel Rincon - Harold Mayot: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide