Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sofia 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 August 2025, Tuesday


	Daniel Rincon		Marco Cecchinato

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.87	1.85	Watch
	1.87	1.83	Watch
	1.9	1.92
	2.01	1.75	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.83)	1.84 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Rincon
49.3%

Marco Cecchinato
50.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

54.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Rincon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Marco Cecchinato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Rincon than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco Cecchinato than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Daniel Rincon - Marco Cecchinato Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rincon is ranked ATP: 290. Cecchinato is ranked ATP: 293.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Rincon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rincon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Daniel Rincon - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Marco Cecchinato - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Rincon
ATP Challenger
13.08.25	Sebastian Gima - Daniel Rincon	2:0 ✺
12.08.25	Jelle Sels - Daniel Rincon	0:2 ✺
23.07.25	Hynek Barton - Daniel Rincon	2:1 ✺
21.07.25	Christoph Negritu - Daniel Rincon	0:2 ✺
15.07.25	Daniel Rincon - Justin Engel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWLWL
- Marco Cecchinato
ATP Challenger
14.08.25	Marco Cecchinato - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	0:2 ✺
13.08.25	Alexey Vatutin - Marco Cecchinato	1:2 ✺
12.08.25	Marco Cecchinato - Remy Bertola	2:0 ✺
05.08.25	Marco Cecchinato - Federico Coria	0:2 ✺
04.08.25	Marco Cecchinato - Jakub Nicod	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
17.06.25	Daniel Rincon - Marco Cecchinato	2:1

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