Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open (USA) - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 August 2024, Monday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)


	Daniel Rincon		Vilius Gaubas

	1	2
	1.67	2.1
	1.62	2.2
	1.63	2.14	Watch
	1.65	2.27
	1.63	2.3	Watch
	1.62	2.2
	1.64	2.23	Watch
	1.63	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.66)	2.2 ↑ (2.11)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Rincon
57.3%

Vilius Gaubas
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Rincon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Vilius Gaubas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Rincon than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Daniel Rincon - Vilius Gaubas Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Rincon will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Gaubas will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rincon is ranked ATP: 242. Gaubas is ranked ATP: 186.

At the moment players are feeling good and ready to play.

Gaubas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Rincon will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Rincon
ATP Challenger
05.08.24	Alexander Blockx - Daniel Rincon	2:1 ✺
28.07.24	Calvin Hemery - Daniel Rincon	0:2 ✺
27.07.24	Gabi Adrian Boitan - Daniel Rincon	0:2 ✺
26.07.24	Daniel Rincon - Carlos Taberner	2:0 ✺
24.07.24	Daniel Rincon - Jelle Sels	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWWWW
- Vilius Gaubas
ATP Challenger
11.08.24	Vilius Gaubas - Carlos Taberner	2:1 ✺
10.08.24	Andrew Paulson - Vilius Gaubas	Paulson A. retired ✺
09.08.24	Vilius Gaubas - Lorenzo Giustino	2:0 ✺
08.08.24	Vilius Gaubas - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	2:0 ✺
06.08.24	Vilius Gaubas - Felix Gill	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 W?WWW

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