Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cordenons (Italy), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 August 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Benvenuto A. (Ita)


	Vilius Gaubas		Felix Gill

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.52	2.37	Watch
	1.67	2.25
	1.59	2.26	Watch
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.56	2.35	Watch
	1.52	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.73)	2.36 ↑ (2)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilius Gaubas
60.3%

Felix Gill
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilius Gaubas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vilius Gaubas's performance.

Felix Gill has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Felix Gill might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vilius Gaubas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felix Gill than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Felix Gill could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Vilius Gaubas - Felix Gill Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Gaubas will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Gill will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gaubas: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gaubas is ranked ATP: 226. Gill is ranked ATP: 309.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Gill could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gaubas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilius Gaubas
ATP Challenger
30.07.24	Vilius Gaubas - Kyrian Jacquet	0:2 ✺
28.07.24	Federico Arnaboldi - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
27.07.24	Vilius Gaubas - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:1 ✺
26.07.24	Hugo Dellien - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
25.07.24	Vilius Gaubas - Richard Gasquet	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LLWWW
- Felix Gill
ITF Tournaments
26.07.24	Alejandro Manzanera Pertusa - Felix Gill	2:1 ✺
25.07.24	Martins Rocens - Felix Gill	0:2 ✺
24.07.24	Pablo Masjuan Ginel - Felix Gill	0:2 ✺
19.07.24	Raul Brancaccio - Felix Gill	2:0 ✺
18.07.24	Max Alcala Gurri - Felix Gill	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
01.10.23	Felix Gill - Vilius Gaubas	0:2

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