Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cordenons (Italy), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 August 2024, Thursday

Referee: Weiss M. (Aut)


	Vilius Gaubas		Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi

	1	2
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.28	3.3
	1.29	3.3	Watch
	1.31	3.54
	1.29	3.39	Watch
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.28	3.5	Watch
	1.29	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.37)	3.39 ↑ (2.85)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilius Gaubas
72.4%

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilius Gaubas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Vilius Gaubas - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Gaubas will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Ambrogi will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gaubas is ranked ATP: 221. Ambrogi is ranked ATP: 513.

Recent matches Gaubas is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ambrogi is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ambrogi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Gaubas is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilius Gaubas
ATP Challenger
06.08.24	Vilius Gaubas - Felix Gill	2:0 ✺
30.07.24	Vilius Gaubas - Kyrian Jacquet	0:2 ✺
28.07.24	Federico Arnaboldi - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
27.07.24	Vilius Gaubas - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:1 ✺
26.07.24	Hugo Dellien - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLLWW
- Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
ATP Challenger
06.08.24	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	2:1 ✺
05.08.24	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	2:1 ✺
04.08.24	Valerio Aboian - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.08.24	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Jacopo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
01.08.24	Leonardo Malgaroli - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWLW

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