Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 1 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Louis Armstrong Stadium (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN 2, ESPN 3
Australia	9Gem
Austria	Sky Sport Austria 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Colombia	ESPN 2, ESPN 3
Czech-republic	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max, Oneplay
Denmark	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Finland	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
Greece	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Hungary	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Peru	ESPN 2, ESPN 3
Poland	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Sweden	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Turkey	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Tennis, Sky Sports UHD, Sky Sports+


	Daniel Vallejo		Gael Monfils

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.67	2.15
	1.63	2.22
	1.75	2.2
	1.71	2.14	Watch
	1.71	2.18
	1.68	2.22	Watch
	1.65	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.59)	2.2 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 38.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Vallejo
56.6%

Gael Monfils
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Vallejo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Gael Monfils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	0%	23.1%

Daniel Vallejo - Gael Monfils Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Vallejo will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Monfils will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vallejo: 54% – 99.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Vallejo (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Monfils (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1st Set - Vallejo (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Vallejo (votes: 3 - 75%). Monfils (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Vallejo is ranked ATP: 70. Monfils is ranked ATP: 347.

Vallejo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Vallejo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Daniel Vallejo - the odds 1.59 are the expected chance of winning is 60.5%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Vallejo
ATP Winston-Salem
25.08.26	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Daniel Vallejo	2:0 ✺
23.08.26	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Daniel Vallejo	Carreno-Busta P. Retired ✺
ATP Cincinnati
17.08.26	Tommy Paul - Daniel Vallejo	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Daniel Vallejo - Valentin Vacherot	2:0 ✺
14.08.26	Kyrian Jacquet - Daniel Vallejo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 L?LWW
- Gael Monfils
ATP Cincinnati
13.08.26	Rinky Hijikata - Gael Monfils	2:1 ✺
ATP Montreal
05.08.26	Learner Tien - Gael Monfils	2:1 ✺
03.08.26	Kamil Majchrzak - Gael Monfils	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
25.05.26	Hugo Gaston - Gael Monfils	3:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
23.04.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Gael Monfils	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLWLL

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