Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 25 May 2026, Monday

Location: Court Philippe-Chatrier (Paris)


	Hugo Gaston		Gael Monfils

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.85	1.91
	2.02	1.8
	2.16	1.8
	2.25	1.64	Watch
	2	1.8
	2.04	1.87	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.87)	1.8 ↓ (1.94)

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hugo Gaston
46.8%

Gael Monfils
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hugo Gaston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Gael Monfils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75.4%	0%	24.6%

Hugo Gaston - Gael Monfils Predictions

Users Predictions: 57 users predict this event. Gaston will win (votes: 43 - 75.4%). Monfils will win (votes: 14 - 24.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gaston: 64.2% – 86.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hugo Gaston will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Gaston is ranked ATP: 120. Monfils is ranked ATP: 200.

Gaston is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Gaston may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Hugo Gaston - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50.95%, but this team recently wins 41% of matches with these odds.

Gael Monfils - the odds 1.94 are the expected chance of winning is 49.05%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hugo Gaston
ATP Hamburg
19.05.26	Hugo Gaston - Karen Khachanov	1:2 ✺
17.05.26	Ignacio Buse - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
16.05.26	Marko Topo - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.05.26	Alexander Shevchenko - Hugo Gaston	2:1 ✺
ATP Roma
04.05.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLWLL
- Gael Monfils
ATP Madrid
23.04.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Gael Monfils	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
07.04.26	Gael Monfils - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
05.04.26	Gael Monfils - Tallon Griekspoor	2:1 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
06.03.26	Gael Monfils - Felix Aliassime-Auger	1:2 ✺
04.03.26	Gael Monfils - Alexis Galarneau	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLWLW

Hugo Gaston - Gael Monfils: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide