Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Winston-Salem, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Germany	Laola1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Romania	Digi Sport 4


	Pablo Carreno-Busta		Daniel Vallejo

	1	2
	1.73	2.10	Watch
	1.72	2.10
	1.74	2.08	Watch
	1.74	2.21
	1.69	2.12	Watch
	1.72	2.17
	1.72	2.11	Watch
	1.70	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.57)	2.12 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pablo Carreno-Busta
55.2%

Daniel Vallejo
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pablo Carreno-Busta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pablo Carreno-Busta's form might have worsened.

Daniel Vallejo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Daniel Vallejo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Vallejo than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Pablo Carreno Busta - Daniel Vallejo Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Carreno Busta will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Vallejo will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 72. Vallejo is ranked ATP: 70.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Vallejo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Daniel Vallejo - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 39.75%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pablo Carreno-Busta
ATP Cincinnati
16.08.26	Andrey Rublev - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:0 ✺
14.08.26	Tomas Machac - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
ATP Montreal
04.08.26	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Valentin Royer	1:2 ✺
ATP Estoril
23.07.26	Luca Van Assche - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:1 ✺
21.07.26	Vilius Gaubas - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWLLW
- Daniel Vallejo
ATP Cincinnati
17.08.26	Tommy Paul - Daniel Vallejo	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Daniel Vallejo - Valentin Vacherot	2:0 ✺
14.08.26	Kyrian Jacquet - Daniel Vallejo	0:2 ✺
ATP Montreal
02.08.26	Daniel Vallejo - Juncheng Shang	0:2 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
21.07.26	Daniel Vallejo - Kilian Feldbausch	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWWLL

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