Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Guayaquil, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday


	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi		Daniel Vallejo

	1	2
	3.5	1.29	Watch
			Watch
	3.45	1.26	Watch
	3.64	1.24	Watch
			Watch
	3.49	1.26	Watch
	2.7	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↑ (2.78)	1.28 ↓ (1.38)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
27.7%

Daniel Vallejo
72.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

66.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

71.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi's form might have worsened.

Daniel Vallejo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Daniel Vallejo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Vallejo than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Daniel Vallejo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ambrogi is ranked ATP: 460. Vallejo is ranked ATP: 163.

Now, both players are in good form.

Vallejo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Vallejo will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Vallejo will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ambrogi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
ATP Challenger
20.11.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	0:2 ✺
18.11.25	Tristan McCormick - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
15.11.25	Juan Estevez - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	2:0 ✺
14.11.25	Tomas Martinez - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	1:2 ✺
13.11.25	Felipe Dreer - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLWW
- Daniel Vallejo
ATP Challenger
20.11.25	Luis David Martinez - Daniel Vallejo	0:2 ✺
18.11.25	Lucio Ratti - Daniel Vallejo	0:2 ✺
14.11.25	Daniel Vallejo - Christian Garin	1:2 ✺
13.11.25	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Daniel Vallejo	1:2 ✺
11.11.25	Guido Ivan Justo - Daniel Vallejo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
07.10.25	Daniel Vallejo - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	0:2
ITF Tournaments
16.02.25	Daniel Vallejo - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	2:0
ATP Challenger
02.02.25	Daniel Vallejo - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	2:1
27.09.24	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Daniel Vallejo	1:2

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