Match Info
ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/64-finalsDate: 23 April 2026, Thursday ๐ Finished Location: Madrid ๐ค๏ธ ... ๐ด Clay
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Daniel Vallejo |
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Grigor Dimitrov |
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- The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Daniel Vallejo 48.9% | Grigor Dimitrov 51.1% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Daniel Vallejo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daniel Vallejo's performance.Grigor Dimitrov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Grigor Dimitrov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Vallejo than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniel Vallejo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grigor Dimitrov than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grigor Dimitrov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Daniel Vallejo - Grigor Dimitrov Predictions
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Vallejo will win (votes: 7 - 23.3%). Dimitrov will win (votes: 23 - 76.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dimitrov: 61.6% โ 91.8%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Dimitrov (votes: 2 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2 
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Preview
Vallejo is ranked ATP: 96. Dimitrov is ranked ATP: 137.In recent matches, Vallejo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).Dimitrov is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).Dimitrov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win. Recently, the players have not faced each other.