Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 20 April 2026, Monday


	Daniel Vallejo		Pedro Martinez Portero

	1	2
			Watch
	1.55	2.3	Watch
	1.6	2.49
	1.56	2.38	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.58	2.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.63)	2.36 ↑ (2.19)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Vallejo
60%

Pedro Martinez Portero
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Vallejo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Pedro Martinez Portero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Vallejo than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniel Vallejo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pedro Martinez Portero could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Daniel Vallejo - Pedro Martinez Portero Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Vallejo will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Martinez Portero will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Martinez Portero (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Vallejo is ranked ATP: 97. Martinez Portero is ranked ATP: 125.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Vallejo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Vallejo could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Daniel Vallejo - the odds 1.63 are the expected chance of winning is 57.33%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Vallejo
ATP Houston
01.04.26	Daniel Vallejo - Tommy Paul	1:2 ✺
30.03.26	Daniel Vallejo - Zachary Svajda	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.03.26	Daniel Vallejo - Franco Roncadelli	0:2 ✺
18.03.26	Daniel Vallejo - Carlos Maria Zarate	2:0 ✺
13.03.26	Daniel Vallejo - Thiago Monteiro	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLWL
- Pedro Martinez Portero
ATP Barcelona
14.04.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Lorenzo Sonego	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Marco Trungelliti - Pedro Martinez Portero	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Pablo Carreno-Busta	Carreno-Busta P. Retired ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
05.04.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Aleksandar Vukic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LW?LW

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