Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 19 March 2026, Thursday


	Raphael Collignon		Grigor Dimitrov

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.15	1.67	Watch
	2.11	1.73	Watch
	2.19	1.75
	2.16	1.67	Watch
	2.1	1.73
	2.21	1.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.48)	1.72 ↑ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raphael Collignon
44.4%

Grigor Dimitrov
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

62.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raphael Collignon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Raphael Collignon's performance.

Grigor Dimitrov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Grigor Dimitrov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raphael Collignon than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Raphael Collignon that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grigor Dimitrov than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grigor Dimitrov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Raphael Collignon - Grigor Dimitrov Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Collignon will win (votes: 9 - 50%). Dimitrov will win (votes: 9 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Collignon: 26.9% – 73.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Collignon (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Dimitrov (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 22 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 Games - Collignon (2.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Collignon (votes: 3 - 75%). Dimitrov (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Collignon is ranked ATP: 72. Dimitrov is ranked ATP: 44.

Collignon has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Dimitrov is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Collignon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Collignon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Grigor Dimitrov - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 62.31%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raphael Collignon
ATP Challenger
13.03.26	Mattia Bellucci - Raphael Collignon	2:0 ✺
12.03.26	Luca Van Assche - Raphael Collignon	0:2 ✺
10.03.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Raphael Collignon	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
04.03.26	Joao Fonseca - Raphael Collignon	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.02.26	Raphael Collignon - Benjamin Bonzi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWWLW
- Grigor Dimitrov
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Grigor Dimitrov	2:0 ✺
05.03.26	Terence Atmane - Grigor Dimitrov	1:2 ✺
ATP Acapulco
24.02.26	Terence Atmane - Grigor Dimitrov	2:0 ✺
ATP Dallas
10.02.26	Grigor Dimitrov - Alex Michelsen	1:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
20.01.26	Grigor Dimitrov - Tomas Machac	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Brisbane
08.01.26	Raphael Collignon - Grigor Dimitrov	2:0

Raphael Collignon - Grigor Dimitrov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide