Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SAO LEOPOLDO (BRAZIL), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 25 March 2024, Monday


	Daniel Vallejo		Liam Draxl

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.35	1.53	Watch
	2.4	1.52	Watch
	2.5	1.55
	2.51	1.55
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.33	1.57	Watch
	2.26	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2)	1.56 ↓ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Vallejo
39.9%

Liam Draxl
60.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

53.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Vallejo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Daniel Vallejo's form might have worsened.

Liam Draxl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Liam Draxl's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Vallejo than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Daniel Vallejo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liam Draxl than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Liam Draxl, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Daniel Vallejo - Liam Draxl Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vallejo has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Draxl is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Draxl will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Vallejo
ATP Challenger
20.03.24	Daniel Vallejo - Roman Andres Burruchaga	1:2 ✺
19.03.24	Renzo Olivo - Daniel Vallejo	Olivo R. retired ✺
04.03.24	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Daniel Vallejo	Ugo Carabelli C. retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.02.24	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Daniel Vallejo	2:0 ✺
15.02.24	Juan Bautista Otegui - Daniel Vallejo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 L??LL
- Liam Draxl
ATP Challenger
19.03.24	Orlando Luz - Liam Draxl	2:1 ✺
16.03.24	Liam Draxl - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2 ✺
15.03.24	Liam Draxl - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:1 ✺
13.03.24	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Liam Draxl	1:2 ✺
11.03.24	Liam Draxl - Philip Sekulic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LLWWW

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