Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 28 September 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Tokyo 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Daniel Vallejo		Taro Daniel

	1	2
			Watch
	2.05	1.72
	1.98	1.78	Watch
	1.96	1.78
	2.06	1.76
	2.06	1.68	Watch
	2.02	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.86)	1.74 ↓ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 24.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Vallejo
46.3%

Taro Daniel
53.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Vallejo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Taro Daniel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Vallejo than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Daniel Vallejo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taro Daniel than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Taro Daniel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Daniel Vallejo - Taro Daniel Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Vallejo will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Daniel will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vallejo is ranked ATP: 58., and Daniel is ranked ATP: 193..

Each of the two players is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Vallejo could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Daniel Vallejo - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Taro Daniel - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 59% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Vallejo
ATP Hangzhou
26.09.26	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Daniel Vallejo	2:1 ✺
24.09.26	Jie Cui - Daniel Vallejo	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
19.09.26	Ignacio Buse - Daniel Vallejo	1:2 ✺
18.09.26	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Daniel Vallejo	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
01.09.26	Daniel Vallejo - Gael Monfils	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWWLL
- Taro Daniel
ATP Hangzhou
25.09.26	Fabian Marozsan - Taro Daniel	2:1 ✺
24.09.26	Dane Sweeny - Taro Daniel	0:2 ✺
23.09.26	Taro Daniel - Hayato Matsuoka	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	Taro Daniel - Jake Delaney	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.09.26	Marat Sharipov - Taro Daniel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWWL

Daniel Vallejo - Taro Daniel