Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hangzhou - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 23 September 2026, Wednesday


	Taro Daniel		Hayato Matsuoka

	1	2
			Watch
	1.48	2.54
	1.47	2.5	Watch
	1.48	2.58	Watch
	1.44	2.65
	1.48	2.47	Watch
	1.46	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.59)	2.54 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taro Daniel
63.3%

Hayato Matsuoka
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taro Daniel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Hayato Matsuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taro Daniel than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Taro Daniel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hayato Matsuoka than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hayato Matsuoka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Taro Daniel - Hayato Matsuoka Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Daniel (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Daniel is ranked ATP: 193., and Matsuoka is ranked ATP: 249..

Both players have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Daniel is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Taro Daniel - the odds 1.59 are the expected chance of winning is 58.81%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taro Daniel
ATP Hangzhou
22.09.26	Taro Daniel - Jake Delaney	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.09.26	Marat Sharipov - Taro Daniel	2:0 ✺
07.09.26	Matthew Dellavedova - Taro Daniel	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
25.08.26	Taro Daniel - Andrew Johnson	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.08.26	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Taro Daniel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLWLL
- Hayato Matsuoka
ATP Hangzhou
22.09.26	Arthur Weber - Hayato Matsuoka	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.09.26	Hayato Matsuoka - Lloyd Harris	1:2 ✺
07.09.26	Hayato Matsuoka - Jake Delaney	1:2 ✺
01.09.26	Enzo Aguiard - Hayato Matsuoka	2:0 ✺
16.08.26	Aziz Dougaz - Hayato Matsuoka	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLLW

Taro Daniel - Hayato Matsuoka: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide