Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Pau, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 February 2026, Thursday


	Daniil Glinka		Alexander Shevchenko

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.94	1.77	Watch
	2.02	1.85
	1.73	2.02	Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.94	1.75	Watch
	1.92	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.06)	1.82 ↑ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniil Glinka
48.6%

Alexander Shevchenko
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniil Glinka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Alexander Shevchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniil Glinka than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Shevchenko than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Daniil Glinka - Alexander Shevchenko Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Glinka (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Glinka is ranked ATP: 170. Shevchenko is ranked ATP: 84.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Shevchenko may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Daniil Glinka - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 44.83%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Alexander Shevchenko - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 55.17%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniil Glinka
ATP Challenger
11.02.26	Mark Lajal - Daniil Glinka	Lajal M. retired ✺
01.02.26	Chris Rodesch - Daniil Glinka	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Daniil Glinka - Frederico Ferreira Silva	2:1 ✺
30.01.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Daniil Glinka	1:2 ✺
28.01.26	Daniil Glinka - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 ?LWWW
- Alexander Shevchenko
ATP Challenger
11.02.26	Clement Chidekh - Alexander Shevchenko	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
07.02.26	Alexander Shevchenko - Hugo Nys	Canceled ✺
06.02.26	Alexander Shevchenko - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.01.26	Luca Van Assche - Alexander Shevchenko	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
21.01.26	Learner Tien - Alexander Shevchenko	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 W?LLL

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