Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Grodzisk Mazowiecki, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 August 2025, Wednesday


	Daniil Glinka		Maks Kasnikowski

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.35	1.53	Watch
	2.2	1.6	Watch
	2.36	1.61
	2.11	1.68	Watch
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.29	1.58	Watch
	2.01	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.01)	1.63 ↓ (1.72)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniil Glinka
42.5%

Maks Kasnikowski
57.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

53.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

54.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniil Glinka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Maks Kasnikowski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniil Glinka than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maks Kasnikowski than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Daniil Glinka - Maks Kasnikowski Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Glinka will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Kasnikowski will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Daniil Glinka will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Glinka is ranked ATP: 371. Kasnikowski is ranked ATP: 528.

Glinka is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Kasnikowski is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Glinka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Kasnikowski will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniil Glinka
ATP Challenger
05.08.25	Daniil Glinka - Radu Albot	2:0 ✺
04.08.25	Daniil Glinka - Amit Vales	2:0 ✺
03.08.25	Daniil Glinka - David Poljak	2:0 ✺
14.07.25	Daniil Glinka - Aryan Shah	0:2 ✺
13.07.25	Daniil Glinka - Alberto Barroso Campos	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWLW
- Maks Kasnikowski
ATP Challenger
05.08.25	Maks Kasnikowski - Hugo Grenier	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
03.08.25	Maks Kasnikowski - Tomasz Berkieta	2:1 ✺
02.08.25	Federico Bondioli - Maks Kasnikowski	1:2 ✺
31.07.25	Karol Filar - Maks Kasnikowski	1:2 ✺
30.07.25	John Hallquist Lithen - Maks Kasnikowski	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWWW

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