Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Beijing, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1


	Daniil Medvedev		Francisco Cerundolo

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.36	3.10
	1.35	3.05	Watch
	1.34	3.27	Watch
	1.38	3.2
	1.45	2.81	Watch
	1.35	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.36)	3.07 ↓ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Daniil Medvedev
69%

Francisco Cerundolo
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.8%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.1%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniil Medvedev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Francisco Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniil Medvedev than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Daniil Medvedev - Francisco Cerundolo Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Medvedev will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Cerundolo will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Medvedev (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1st Set - Medvedev (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Medvedev (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Medvedev is ranked ATP: 6., and Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 22..

Medvedev has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Cerundolo is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Medvedev may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Medvedev is considered the favorite to take the win.

Our forecast points to a victory for Medvedev in today's match, at odds of 1.39.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Medvedev has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniil Medvedev
ATP Beijing
03.10.26	Daniil Medvedev - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:0 ✺
02.10.26	Daniil Medvedev - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:0 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
29.09.26	Daniil Medvedev - Andrey Rublev	2:0 ✺
28.09.26	Daniil Medvedev - Roman Safiullin	2:0 ✺
27.09.26	Daniil Medvedev - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWWW
- Francisco Cerundolo
ATP Beijing
03.10.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Jakub Mensik	2:0 ✺
01.10.26	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Francisco Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
ATP Laver Cup
25.09.26	Casper Ruud - Francisco Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
20.09.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Mert Alkaya	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Yanki Erel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Miami
23.03.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Daniil Medvedev	2:1

Upcoming Matches