Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: INDIAN WELLS (USA), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 13 March 2024, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Brazil	ESPN 3
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 3
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	Eurosport 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	Sport TV6
Romania	Prima Sport 3
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Daniil Medvedev		Grigor Dimitrov

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.6	2.3	Watch
	1.58	2.4	Watch
	1.6	2.48
	1.61	2.48
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.64	2.28	Watch
	1.6	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.45)	2.39 ↓ (2.78)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniil Medvedev
60%

Grigor Dimitrov
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.7%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.3%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniil Medvedev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Daniil Medvedev's form might have worsened.

Grigor Dimitrov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Grigor Dimitrov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniil Medvedev than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Daniil Medvedev, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grigor Dimitrov than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Grigor Dimitrov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.1%	0%	41.9%

Daniil Medvedev - Grigor Dimitrov Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Medvedev will win (votes: 18 - 58.1%). Dimitrov will win (votes: 13 - 41.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Medvedev: 40.7% – 75.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Medvedev won 3.

Now both players are in good shape.

Dimitrov could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Medvedev will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Medvedev won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniil Medvedev
ATP Indian Wells
11.03.24	Daniil Medvedev - Sebastian Korda	2:1 ✺
09.03.24	Daniil Medvedev - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
ATP Dubai
01.03.24	Daniil Medvedev - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
29.02.24	Daniil Medvedev - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
28.02.24	Daniil Medvedev - Lorenzo Sonego	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLWW
- Grigor Dimitrov
ATP Indian Wells
11.03.24	Adrian Mannarino - Grigor Dimitrov	0:2 ✺
09.03.24	Alexandre Muller - Grigor Dimitrov	0:2 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
17.02.24	Grigor Dimitrov - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
16.02.24	Grigor Dimitrov - Alexander Shevchenko	2:1 ✺
15.02.24	Grigor Dimitrov - Marton Fucsovics	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Paris
01.11.23	Grigor Dimitrov - Daniil Medvedev	2:1
ATP Vienna
26.10.23	Daniil Medvedev - Grigor Dimitrov	2:1
ATP Rotterdam
18.02.23	Daniil Medvedev - Grigor Dimitrov	2:0
ATP Vienna
29.10.22	Daniil Medvedev - Grigor Dimitrov	2:0
ATP Indian Wells
13.10.21	Daniil Medvedev - Grigor Dimitrov	1:2
ATP Cincinnati
19.08.21	Daniil Medvedev - Grigor Dimitrov	2:0
ATP US Open
06.09.19	Daniil Medvedev - Grigor Dimitrov	3:0

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