Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid (Spain), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 April 2024, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Daniil Medvedev		Sebastian Korda

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.48	2.6	Watch
	1.48	2.7	Watch
	1.5	2.78
	1.51	2.78
	1.5	2.6	Watch
	1.49	2.65	Watch
	1.51	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.44)	2.67 ↓ (2.76)

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniil Medvedev
64.1%

Sebastian Korda
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.7%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniil Medvedev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Sebastian Korda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniil Medvedev than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Korda than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.5%	0%	8.5%

Daniil Medvedev - Sebastian Korda Predictions

Users Predictions: Daniil Medvedev will win (43 of 47 users predict this - 91.49%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.51% – 99.47%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Korda could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Medvedev will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Medvedev won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniil Medvedev
ATP Madrid
27.04.24	Daniil Medvedev - Matteo Arnaldi	2:1 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
11.04.24	Karen Khachanov - Daniil Medvedev	2:0 ✺
10.04.24	Gael Monfils - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
29.03.24	Daniil Medvedev - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
27.03.24	Nicolas Jarry - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWLW
- Sebastian Korda
ATP Madrid
27.04.24	Max Purcell - Sebastian Korda	0:2 ✺
ATP Bucharest
19.04.24	Sebastian Korda - Gregoire Barrere	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.24	Sebastian Korda - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
09.04.24	Sebastian Korda - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
25.03.24	Sebastian Korda - Hubert Hurkacz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Indian Wells
11.03.24	Daniil Medvedev - Sebastian Korda	2:1
ATP Shanghai
08.10.23	Sebastian Korda - Daniil Medvedev	2:0
ATP Australian Open
20.01.23	Sebastian Korda - Daniil Medvedev	3:0
ATP Paris
04.11.21	Sebastian Korda - Daniil Medvedev	1:2

Daniil Medvedev - Sebastian Korda: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide