Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 11 April 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Monte Carlo 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	23:15	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	10:15	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	16:15	Max Sport 1
Czech Republic	15:15	Premier Sport 1
Denmark	15:15	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	16:15	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	15:15	Eurosport 2
Greece	16:15	COSMOTE Sport 6
Hungary	15:15	Match 4
Netherlands	15:15	Ziggo Sport 4
Poland	15:15	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	14:15	Sport TV2
Romania	16:15	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 3
Sweden	15:15	TV4 Play, TV4 Tennis
Ukraine	16:15	Setanta Sports Premium
United Kingdom	14:15	Sky Sports Tennis


	Grigor Dimitrov		Alex De Minaur

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.54	1.53	Watch
	2.45	1.5	Watch
	2.51	1.53	Watch
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.58	1.52	Watch
	2.45	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.36)	1.53 ↓ (1.56)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grigor Dimitrov
38.3%

Alex De Minaur
61.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.8%

60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

62.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grigor Dimitrov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Alex De Minaur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grigor Dimitrov than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex De Minaur than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.5%	0%	79.5%

Grigor Dimitrov - Alex De Minaur Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - De Minaur (2.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -3.5 Games - De Minaur (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 2nd Set - De Minaur (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 22.5 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Set - Dimitrov (2.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Alex De Minaur will win (34 of 43 users predict this - 79.07%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.91% – 91.23%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alex De Minaur will win (18 of 23 users predict this - 78.26%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 27 Selected Experts predict this event. Dimitrov (votes: 6 - 22.2%). De Minaur (votes: 21 - 77.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Dimitrov is ranked ATP: 18. De Minaur is ranked ATP: 10.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dimitrov won 1.

Now both players are in good shape.

Dimitrov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

De Minaur will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's De Minaur to win the game is with odds 1.52.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Dimitrov won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6:7 (average 1:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grigor Dimitrov
ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.25	Alejandro Tabilo - Grigor Dimitrov	1:2 ✺
09.04.25	Valentin Vacherot - Grigor Dimitrov	1:2 ✺
08.04.25	Nicolas Jarry - Grigor Dimitrov	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
28.03.25	Novak Djokovic - Grigor Dimitrov	2:0 ✺
26.03.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Grigor Dimitrov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWLW
- Alex De Minaur
ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.25	Daniil Medvedev - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
09.04.25	Tomas Machac - Alex De Minaur	1:2 ✺
ATP Miami
25.03.25	Alex De Minaur - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
24.03.25	Alex De Minaur - Joao Fonseca	2:1 ✺
22.03.25	Alex De Minaur - Bu Yunchaokete	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Rotterdam
17.02.24	Grigor Dimitrov - Alex De Minaur	0:2
ATP Barcelona
20.04.23	Alex De Minaur - Grigor Dimitrov	De Minaur A. walkover
ATP Rotterdam
17.02.23	Grigor Dimitrov - Alex De Minaur	2:1
ATP Montreal
10.08.22	Alex De Minaur - Grigor Dimitrov	2:0
ATP Antwerp
24.10.20	Alex De Minaur - Grigor Dimitrov	2:1
ATP US Open
01.09.19	Grigor Dimitrov - Alex De Minaur	3:0

Grigor Dimitrov - Alex De Minaur