Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Wuning 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 April 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Wuning 2 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Daniil Ostapenkov		Sergey Fomin

	1	2
	2.08	1.78
	2.02	1.71	Watch
	2.02	1.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.09)	1.73 ↑ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniil Ostapenkov
45.8%

Sergey Fomin
54.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.1%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniil Ostapenkov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Sergey Fomin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniil Ostapenkov than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sergey Fomin than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Daniil Ostapenkov - Sergey Fomin Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ostapenkov will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Fomin will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ostapenkov is ranked ATP: 689. Fomin is ranked ATP: 383.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Fomin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ostapenkov won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniil Ostapenkov
ATP Challenger
12.04.26	Daniil Ostapenkov - Yuta Kikuchi	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Ryuki Matsuda - Daniil Ostapenkov	2:1 ✺
08.04.26	Daniil Ostapenkov - Ilia Simakin	0:2 ✺
06.04.26	Daniil Ostapenkov - Qian Sun	2:0 ✺
06.04.26	Daniil Ostapenkov - Uisung Park	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLLWW
- Sergey Fomin
ATP Challenger
14.04.26	Harry Wendelken - Sergey Fomin	Canceled ✺
09.04.26	Sergey Fomin - Harry Wendelken	0:2 ✺
07.04.26	Sergey Fomin - Moerani Bouzige	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
03.04.26	Kuan-Yi Lee - Sergey Fomin	2:0 ✺
02.04.26	Charles Broom - Sergey Fomin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 ?LWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
16.11.22	Sergey Fomin - Daniil Ostapenkov	2:1

Daniil Ostapenkov - Sergey Fomin