Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: HONG KONG (HONG KONG), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 11 October 2023, Wednesday


	Daria Saville		Elise Mertens

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.45	1.53
	2.35	1.58	Watch
	2.45	1.48
	2.42	1.61
	2.5	1.53
	2.56	1.51	Watch
	2.55	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.75)	1.54 ↑ (1.42)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daria Saville
38.3%

Elise Mertens
61.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

65.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

66.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daria Saville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Elise Mertens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daria Saville than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Daria Saville - Elise Mertens Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Saville will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Mertens will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Saville: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Saville won 1.

Recent matches Saville is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mertens is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Saville could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Mertens will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Saville won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daria Saville
WTA Hong Kong
10.10.23	Dalila Jakupovic - Daria Saville	1:2 ✺
07.10.23	Chia Yi Tsao - Daria Saville	0:2 ✺
WTA Beijing
02.10.23	Anhelina Kalinina - Daria Saville	2:0 ✺
01.10.23	Daria Saville - Katerina Siniakova	2:0 ✺
WTA Ningbo
25.09.23	Daria Saville - Yulia Putintseva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLWL
- Elise Mertens
WTA Beijing
30.09.23	Yue Yuan - Elise Mertens	2:1 ✺
WTA Guadalajara
19.09.23	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Elise Mertens	2:0 ✺
17.09.23	Yanina Wickmayer - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
WTA San Diego
12.09.23	Sloane Stephens - Elise Mertens	2:0 ✺
WTA US Open
01.09.23	Elise Mertens - Cori Gauff	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Indian Wells
14.03.22	Elise Mertens - Daria Saville	1:2
WTA Roland Garros
02.06.18	Daria Saville - Elise Mertens	0:2
WTA Australian Open
17.01.18	Daria Saville - Elise Mertens	0:2
WTA Hopman Cup
03.01.18	Daria Saville - Elise Mertens	1:2
WTA Roland Garros
29.05.17	Elise Mertens - Daria Saville	2:1
WTA Rabat
03.05.17	Daria Saville - Elise Mertens	2:0

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