Match Info

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday


	Daria Snigur		Elise Mertens

	1	2
	3.00	1.40
	3.05	1.38
	2.89	1.38	Watch
	3.00	1.39
	3.00	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.89)	1.38 (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daria Snigur
31.7%

Elise Mertens
68.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

67.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

67.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daria Snigur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Elise Mertens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daria Snigur than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

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Preview

Snigur is ranked WTA: 46., and Mertens is ranked WTA: 19..

Snigur has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Mertens shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Snigur could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Mertens is considered the favorite to take the win.

Our forecast points to a victory for Mertens in today's match, at odds of 1.38.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Elise Mertens - the odds 1.38 are the expected chance of winning is 67.68%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daria Snigur
WTA Beijing
05.10.26	Daria Snigur - Mirra Andreeva	0:2 ✺
04.10.26	Daria Snigur - Taylah Preston	2:0 ✺
02.10.26	Jasmine Paolini - Daria Snigur	1:2 ✺
30.09.26	Daria Snigur - Katarzyna Kawa	2:1 ✺
WTA US Open
31.08.26	Daria Snigur - Diana Shnaider	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWWWL
- Elise Mertens
WTA Beijing
10.10.26	Qinwen Zheng - Elise Mertens	2:0 ✺
09.10.26	Elise Mertens - Iga Swiatek	2:0 ✺
07.10.26	Cori Gauff - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
05.10.26	Jelena Ostapenko - Elise Mertens	1:2 ✺
02.10.26	Katie Volynets - Elise Mertens	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24 LWWWW

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