Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon - Qualification, grass - Semi-finals

Date: 24 June 2026, Wednesday

Location: Community Sports Centre Roehampton (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Dane Sweeny		Darwin Blanch

	1	2
	2.25	1.57
	2.25	1.60
	2.28	1.60
	2.44	1.60
	2.31	1.58	Watch
	2.20	1.62
	2.30	1.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.1)	1.6 ↓ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dane Sweeny
41.1%

Darwin Blanch
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dane Sweeny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Darwin Blanch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dane Sweeny than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dane Sweeny, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darwin Blanch than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Darwin Blanch, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Dane Sweeny - Darwin Blanch Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Sweeny will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Blanch will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sweeny: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sweeny is ranked ATP: 126. Blanch is ranked ATP: 225.

Sweeny has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Blanch is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Sweeny may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Blanch will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Blanch will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Dane Sweeny - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 44.92%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Darwin Blanch - the odds 1.71 are the expected chance of winning is 55.08%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dane Sweeny
ATP Wimbledon
22.06.26	Dane Sweeny - Franco Roncadelli	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.06.26	Dane Sweeny - Jacob Fearnley	1:2 ✺
13.06.26	Dane Sweeny - Bu Yunchaokete	0:2 ✺
13.06.26	Dane Sweeny - Toby Samuel	2:1 ✺
12.06.26	Dane Sweeny - Billy Harris	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLLWW
- Darwin Blanch
ATP Wimbledon
22.06.26	Darwin Blanch - Ugo Blanchet	Canceled ✺
22.06.26	Darwin Blanch - Filip Cristian Jianu	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.06.26	Darwin Blanch - Jacob Fearnley	0:2 ✺
12.06.26	Henrique Rocha - Darwin Blanch	1:2 ✺
10.06.26	Darwin Blanch - Christopher OConnell	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 ?WLWW

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