Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Knoxville, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 7 November 2025, Friday


	Darwin Blanch		Jay Clarke

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
			Watch
	1.64	2.12	Watch
	1.71	2.22
	1.63	2.17	Watch
			Watch
	1.62	2.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.85)	2.17 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darwin Blanch
56.9%

Jay Clarke
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darwin Blanch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Darwin Blanch's performance.

Jay Clarke has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jay Clarke might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darwin Blanch than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Darwin Blanch that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jay Clarke than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jay Clarke could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Darwin Blanch - Jay Clarke Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Blanch (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 Games - Blanch (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Blanch (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Blanch is ranked ATP: 335. Clarke is ranked ATP: 203.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Clarke may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Darwin Blanch - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.95%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darwin Blanch
ATP Challenger
05.11.25	Andres Martin - Darwin Blanch	0:2 ✺
04.11.25	Alexander Kotzen - Darwin Blanch	0:2 ✺
28.10.25	Darwin Blanch - Keegan Smith	1:2 ✺
20.10.25	Liam Draxl - Darwin Blanch	2:0 ✺
30.09.25	Darwin Blanch - Luca Potenza	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLLL
- Jay Clarke
ATP Challenger
05.11.25	Stefan Kozlov - Jay Clarke	1:2 ✺
04.11.25	Francisco Rocha - Jay Clarke	0:2 ✺
29.10.25	Dylan Dietrich - Jay Clarke	2:0 ✺
27.10.25	Tyler Zink - Jay Clarke	0:2 ✺
21.10.25	Jay Clarke - Antoine Ghibaudo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLWL

Darwin Blanch - Jay Clarke: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide