Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Charlottesville, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday


	Darwin Blanch		Keegan Smith

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.75	1.97	Watch
	1.78	1.95	Watch
	1.78	1.96	Watch
	1.68	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.86)	2 ↑ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Darwin Blanch
53.4%

Keegan Smith
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darwin Blanch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Keegan Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darwin Blanch than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Darwin Blanch that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keegan Smith than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Keegan Smith could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Darwin Blanch - Keegan Smith Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Blanch is ranked ATP: 337. Smith is ranked ATP: 521.

Blanch is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Smith is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Blanch may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Keegan Smith - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darwin Blanch
ATP Challenger
20.10.25	Liam Draxl - Darwin Blanch	2:0 ✺
30.09.25	Darwin Blanch - Luca Potenza	0:2 ✺
18.09.25	Darwin Blanch - Samir Banerjee	1:2 ✺
16.09.25	Johannus Monday - Darwin Blanch	1:2 ✺
10.09.25	Christian Langmo - Darwin Blanch	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLWL
- Keegan Smith
ATP Challenger
27.10.25	Dan Martin - Keegan Smith	0:2 ✺
26.10.25	Noah Schachter - Keegan Smith	0:2 ✺
21.10.25	Andrew Fenty - Keegan Smith	2:1 ✺
20.10.25	Aryan Shah - Keegan Smith	0:2 ✺
19.10.25	Joshua Sheehy - Keegan Smith	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLWW

Darwin Blanch - Keegan Smith: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide