Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Charlottesville, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 27 October 2025, Monday


	Tyler Zink		Jay Clarke

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.95	1.77
	1.92	1.78	Watch
			Watch
	1.96	1.78	Watch
	2.41	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.48)	1.71 ↑ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tyler Zink
45.5%

Jay Clarke
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

63.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

64.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tyler Zink has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tyler Zink's performance.

Jay Clarke has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jay Clarke might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tyler Zink than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tyler Zink that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jay Clarke than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jay Clarke could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Tyler Zink - Jay Clarke Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Zink will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Clarke will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tyler Zink will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Zink is ranked ATP: 298. Clarke is ranked ATP: 201.

Zink has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Clarke is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Clarke may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Clarke might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Jay Clarke - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 63.1%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tyler Zink
ATP Challenger
13.10.25	Johannus Monday - Tyler Zink	2:0 ✺
08.10.25	Dominique Rolland - Tyler Zink	2:0 ✺
07.10.25	Tyler Zink - Moerani Bouzige	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Tyler Zink - Michael Zheng	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Abedallah Shelbayh - Tyler Zink	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLWLW
- Jay Clarke
ATP Challenger
21.10.25	Jay Clarke - Antoine Ghibaudo	1:2 ✺
ATP Stockholm
12.10.25	Arthur Fery - Jay Clarke	2:1 ✺
11.10.25	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Jay Clarke	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.09.25	Jay Clarke - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
23.09.25	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Jay Clarke	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWLL

Tyler Zink - Jay Clarke: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide