Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 28 August 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Belgium	23:50	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia And Herzegovina	23:50	HBO Max
Bulgaria	00:50	HBO Max
Croatia	23:50	HBO Max
Czech Republic	23:50	HBO Max
Denmark	23:50	HBO Max
Finland	00:50	HBO Max
France	23:50	HBO Max
Hungary	23:50	HBO Max
Moldova	00:50	HBO Max
Montenegro	23:50	HBO Max
Netherlands	23:50	HBO Max
North Macedonia	23:50	HBO Max
Norway	23:50	HBO Max
Poland	23:50	HBO Max
Romania	00:50	HBO Max
Serbia	23:50	HBO Max
Slovenia	23:50	HBO Max
Spain	23:50	HBO Max
Sweden	23:50	HBO Max


	Darya Kasatkina		Kamilla Rakhimova

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.44	2.75
	1.41	2.81	Watch
	1.46	2.88
	1.44	2.81	Watch
	1.44	2.75
	1.48	2.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.54)	2.8 ↑ (2.41)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darya Kasatkina
66%

Kamilla Rakhimova
34%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darya Kasatkina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Kamilla Rakhimova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darya Kasatkina than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kamilla Rakhimova than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	0%	23.1%

Darya Kasatkina - Kamilla Rakhimova Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Kasatkina will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Rakhimova will win (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kasatkina: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kasatkina (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -4 Games - Kasatkina (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kasatkina (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kasatkina is ranked WTA: 18. Rakhimova is ranked WTA: 65.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Rakhimova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Kasatkina is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darya Kasatkina
WTA US Open
25.08.25	Darya Kasatkina - Elena Gabriela Ruse	2:0 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
10.08.25	Darya Kasatkina - Lucia Bronzetti	1:2 ✺
WTA Montreal
31.07.25	Marta Kostyuk - Darya Kasatkina	2:1 ✺
29.07.25	Anna Blinkova - Darya Kasatkina	0:2 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
05.07.25	Darya Kasatkina - Ludmilla Samsonova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLLWL
- Kamilla Rakhimova
WTA US Open
25.08.25	Kamilla Rakhimova - Caroline Garcia	2:1 ✺
WTA Monterrey
20.08.25	Diana Shnaider - Kamilla Rakhimova	2:0 ✺
18.08.25	Jessica Bouzas Maneiro - Kamilla Rakhimova	0:2 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
08.08.25	Kamilla Rakhimova - Maria Sakkari	1:2 ✺
06.08.25	Kamilla Rakhimova - Rebecca Marino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWLW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kamilla Rakhimova
WTA Tokyo
29.10.26	Kamilla Rakhimova - Maya Joint	✺

Darya Kasatkina - Kamilla Rakhimova