Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: AIX EN PROVENCE (FRANCE), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 5 May 2023, Friday


	David Goffin		Arthur Fils

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.95	1.75
	1.98	1.81
	2.12	1.79
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	2.15	1.67	Watch
	1.97	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.6)	1.77 ↓ (2.35)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

David Goffin
46.8%

Arthur Fils
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

David Goffin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that David Goffin's form might have worsened.

Arthur Fils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arthur Fils's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for David Goffin than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for David Goffin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Fils than the current prediction. (-14.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arthur Fils, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.6%	0%	82.4%

David Goffin - Arthur Fils Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Goffin will win (votes: 6 - 17.6%). Fils will win (votes: 28 - 82.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fils: 69.6% – 95.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Fils could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- David Goffin
ATP Challenger
04.05.23	Dan Added - David Goffin	1:2 ✺
04.05.23	Mikael Ymer - David Goffin	Canceled ✺
02.05.23	Benoit Paire - David Goffin	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
26.04.23	Roberto Carballes Baena - David Goffin	2:0 ✺
ATP Barcelona
19.04.23	Yoshihito Nishioka - David Goffin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 W?WLL
- Arthur Fils
ATP Challenger
04.05.23	Quentin Halys - Arthur Fils	1:2 ✺
03.05.23	Arthur Fils - Gregoire Barrere	2:1 ✺
ATP Madrid
25.04.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Arthur Fils	2:1 ✺
24.04.23	Reda Bennani - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
ATP Banja Luka
16.04.23	Arthur Fils - Francesco Maestrelli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLWL

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