Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Olympic Games (World), clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 28 July 2024, Sunday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Max


	Matteo Arnaldi		Arthur Fils

	1	2
	2.63	1.5
	2.45	1.53
	2.6	1.51
	2.63	1.54
	2.5	1.56	Watch
	2.6	1.5
	2.59	1.51	Watch
	2.6	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.4)	1.52 ↓ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Arnaldi
37.1%

Arthur Fils
62.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

60.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

61.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Arthur Fils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Fils than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.6%	0%	85.4%

Matteo Arnaldi - Arthur Fils Predictions

Users Predictions: Arthur Fils will win (34 of 40 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.93% – 96.07%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Arnaldi is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fils is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Fils could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Fils will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Fils to win the game is with odds 1.5.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Arnaldi won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Umag
21.07.24	Alexandre Muller - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0 ✺
ATP Hamburg
15.07.24	Pedro Martinez Portero - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.24	Matteo Arnaldi - Francis Tiafoe	2:3 ✺
ATP London
19.06.24	Rinky Hijikata - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0 ✺
18.06.24	Matteo Arnaldi - Ugo Humbert	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLLLW
- Arthur Fils
ATP Hamburg
21.07.24	Alexander Zverev - Arthur Fils	1:2 ✺
20.07.24	Sebastian Baez - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
19.07.24	Arthur Fils - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	Rune H. retired ✺
18.07.24	Arthur Fils - Laslo Djere	2:0 ✺
16.07.24	Arthur Fils - Jaume Munar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WW?WW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roland Garros
27.05.24	Matteo Arnaldi - Arthur Fils	3:1
ATP Miami
20.03.24	Arthur Fils - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2
ATP US Open
31.08.23	Arthur Fils - Matteo Arnaldi	2:3
ATP Madrid
25.04.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Arthur Fils	2:1

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