Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bordeaux (France), clay - Semi-finals

Date: 18 May 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Sports Max


	Arthur Fils		Gregoire Barrere

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.55
	1.45	2.6	Watch
	1.49	2.79
	1.49	2.79
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.62	Watch
	1.55	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.6)	2.67 ↑ (2.13)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Fils
64.6%

Gregoire Barrere
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Fils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arthur Fils's performance.

Gregoire Barrere has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gregoire Barrere might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Fils than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arthur Fils that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gregoire Barrere than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gregoire Barrere could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Arthur Fils - Gregoire Barrere Predictions

Users Predictions: Arthur Fils will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Fils is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Barrere is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Fils could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Fils will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Fils won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Fils
ATP Challenger
17.05.24	Arthur Fils - Thanasi Kokkinakis	2:0 ✺
16.05.24	Arthur Fils - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:1 ✺
ATP Roma
11.05.24	Arthur Fils - Alexandre Muller	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
26.04.24	Daniel Altmaier - Arthur Fils	2:0 ✺
ATP Barcelona
19.04.24	Arthur Fils - Dusan Lajovic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLLL
- Gregoire Barrere
ATP Challenger
17.05.24	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Gregoire Barrere	0:2 ✺
16.05.24	Gregoire Barrere - Andy Murray	2:0 ✺
15.05.24	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Gregoire Barrere	0:2 ✺
ATP Roma
09.05.24	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Gregoire Barrere	2:0 ✺
07.05.24	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Gregoire Barrere	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
03.05.23	Arthur Fils - Gregoire Barrere	2:1
29.01.23	Arthur Fils - Gregoire Barrere	0:2

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