Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday


	David Goffin		Corentin Moutet

	1	2
	2	1.75	Watch
	1.97	1.74	Watch
	2.33	1.58	Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.03	1.72	Watch
	1.97	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.7)	1.71 ↓ (2.15)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

David Goffin
45.5%

Corentin Moutet
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

David Goffin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that David Goffin's form might have worsened.

Corentin Moutet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Corentin Moutet's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for David Goffin than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for David Goffin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corentin Moutet than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Corentin Moutet, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

David Goffin - Corentin Moutet Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Games - Moutet (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Corentin Moutet will win (16 of 20 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.47% – 97.53%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Corentin Moutet will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Goffin (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Moutet (votes: 8 - 88.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Goffin is ranked ATP: 54. Moutet is ranked ATP: 75.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Goffin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Goffin won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:2 (average 2.3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- David Goffin
ATP Monte Carlo
05.04.25	David Goffin - Yannick Hanfmann	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
23.03.25	Brandon Nakashima - David Goffin	2:1 ✺
21.03.25	David Goffin - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	2:1 ✺
19.03.25	Aleksandar Vukic - David Goffin	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.03.25	David Goffin - Daniel Altmaier	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.2 WLWWL
- Corentin Moutet
ATP Monte Carlo
05.04.25	Gabriel Diallo - Corentin Moutet	1:2 ✺
ATP Miami
21.03.25	Corentin Moutet - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2 ✺
19.03.25	Alexander Blockx - Corentin Moutet	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.03.25	Corentin Moutet - Alexander Bublik	1:2 ✺
13.03.25	Pedro Martinez Portero - Corentin Moutet	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Halle
14.06.21	David Goffin - Corentin Moutet	Goffin D. retired
Exhibition UTS Championship Men
04.07.20	David Goffin - Corentin Moutet	3:1
ATP US Open
26.08.19	Corentin Moutet - David Goffin	1:3
ATP Roland Garros
30.05.18	David Goffin - Corentin Moutet	3:0

David Goffin - Corentin Moutet: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide