Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami (USA), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 March 2025, Sunday


	Brandon Nakashima		David Goffin

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.75	Watch
	1.46	2.68	Watch
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.46	2.74	Watch
	1.45	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.52)	2.74 ↑ (2.47)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brandon Nakashima
65.4%

David Goffin
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.9%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.1%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brandon Nakashima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

David Goffin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for David Goffin than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Brandon Nakashima - David Goffin Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Nakashima will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Goffin will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Goffin: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nakashima is ranked ATP: 32. Goffin is ranked ATP: 55.

Nakashima is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Goffin is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nakashima could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Nakashima will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Nakashima won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:2 (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Miami
21.03.25	Brandon Nakashima - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:1 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
12.03.25	Brandon Nakashima - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
10.03.25	Matteo Arnaldi - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
08.03.25	Rinky Hijikata - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
ATP Acapulco
28.02.25	Tomas Machac - Brandon Nakashima	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWWL
- David Goffin
ATP Miami
21.03.25	David Goffin - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	2:1 ✺
19.03.25	Aleksandar Vukic - David Goffin	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.03.25	David Goffin - Daniel Altmaier	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.25	David Goffin - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
06.03.25	David Goffin - Lorenzo Sonego	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.1 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Acapulco
27.02.25	Brandon Nakashima - David Goffin	2:0
ATP Challenger
17.11.23	David Goffin - Brandon Nakashima	0:2
ATP Basel
24.10.22	Brandon Nakashima - David Goffin	2:1

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