Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: PHOENIX (USA), HARD - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 15 March 2024, Friday


	Denis Kudla		Luca Van Assche

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.2	1.6	Watch
			Watch
	2.31	1.66
	2.31	1.67
	2.1	1.67
	2.01	1.74	Watch
	2.16	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.1)	1.67 ↓ (1.69)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denis Kudla
43.6%

Luca Van Assche
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denis Kudla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Luca Van Assche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Kudla than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Denis Kudla - Luca Van Assche Predictions

Users Predictions: Luca Van Assche will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kudla is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Van Assche is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kudla could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denis Kudla
ATP Challenger
14.03.24	Denis Kudla - Daniel Elahi Galan	2:0 ✺
12.03.24	Roman Safiullin - Denis Kudla	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.24	Constant Lestienne - Denis Kudla	2:1 ✺
05.03.24	Denis Kudla - Emilio Nava	2:0 ✺
04.03.24	Hugo Gaston - Denis Kudla	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WWLWW
- Luca Van Assche
ATP Challenger
14.03.24	Luca Van Assche - Constant Lestienne	Lestienne C. retired ✺
13.03.24	Christian Garin - Luca Van Assche	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
06.03.24	Luca Van Assche - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
27.02.24	Luca Van Assche - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
25.02.24	Luca Van Assche - Maximilian Marterer	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 ?WLLL

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