Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: PHOENIX (USA), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 14 March 2024, Thursday


	Luca Van Assche		Constant Lestienne

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.8	1.9	Watch
	1.88	1.85
	1.92	1.89
	1.93	1.89
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.84	1.9	Watch
	1.9	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.78)	1.86 ↓ (2.01)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Van Assche
49.8%

Constant Lestienne
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Van Assche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Constant Lestienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Constant Lestienne than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Luca Van Assche - Constant Lestienne Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Van Assche will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Lestienne will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Van Assche: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Van Assche is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lestienne is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Van Assche could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Van Assche won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Van Assche
ATP Challenger
13.03.24	Christian Garin - Luca Van Assche	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
06.03.24	Luca Van Assche - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
27.02.24	Luca Van Assche - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
25.02.24	Luca Van Assche - Maximilian Marterer	1:2 ✺
24.02.24	Luca Van Assche - Aziz Dougaz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLLW
- Constant Lestienne
ATP Challenger
13.03.24	Constant Lestienne - Roberto Carballes Baena	Carballes Baena R. retired ✺
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.24	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Constant Lestienne	2:0 ✺
07.03.24	Constant Lestienne - Denis Kudla	2:1 ✺
05.03.24	Constant Lestienne - Vit Kopriva	2:0 ✺
04.03.24	Constant Lestienne - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 ?LWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
23.02.22	Luca Van Assche - Constant Lestienne	0:2
11.02.22	Luca Van Assche - Constant Lestienne	1:2

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