Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: INDIAN WELLS (USA), HARD - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 6 March 2024, Wednesday


	Luca Van Assche		Matteo Arnaldi

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.4	1.55	Watch
	2.45	1.55
	2.54	1.57
	2.55	1.57
	2.6	1.5	Watch
	2.53	1.53	Watch
	2.55	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (2.59)	1.54 ↑ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Van Assche
37.7%

Matteo Arnaldi
62.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

63.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

65.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Van Assche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.1%	0%	92.9%

Luca Van Assche - Matteo Arnaldi Predictions

Users Predictions: Matteo Arnaldi will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Van Assche is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Arnaldi is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Arnaldi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Arnaldi is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Van Assche
ATP Dubai
27.02.24	Luca Van Assche - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
25.02.24	Luca Van Assche - Maximilian Marterer	1:2 ✺
24.02.24	Luca Van Assche - Aziz Dougaz	2:0 ✺
ATP Doha
17.02.24	Luca Van Assche - Maxime Cressy	0:2 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
10.02.24	Luca Van Assche - Gijs Brouwer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLWLL
- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Acapulco
28.02.24	Ben Shelton - Matteo Arnaldi	2:1 ✺
26.02.24	Matteo Arnaldi - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:1 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
19.02.24	Max Purcell - Matteo Arnaldi	2:1 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
14.02.24	Rinky Hijikata - Matteo Arnaldi	2:1 ✺
12.02.24	Yoshihito Nishioka - Matteo Arnaldi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWLLW

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