Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: DUBAI (UNITED ARAB EMIRATES), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 26 February 2024, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 3
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	Eurosport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Sport 2
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Denis Shapovalov		Andy Murray

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.67	2.15	Watch
	1.65	2.2	Watch
	1.69	2.28
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.68	2.22	Watch
	1.7	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.9)	2.19 ↑ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denis Shapovalov
56.5%

Andy Murray
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denis Shapovalov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Denis Shapovalov's performance.

Andy Murray has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Andy Murray might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Denis Shapovalov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andy Murray than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andy Murray could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
32%	0%	68%

Denis Shapovalov - Andy Murray Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Shapovalov will win (votes: 8 - 32%). Murray will win (votes: 17 - 68%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Murray: 49.7% – 86.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Shapovalov is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Murray is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Murray could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Shapovalov won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denis Shapovalov
ATP Rotterdam
14.02.24	Denis Shapovalov - Gael Monfils	0:2 ✺
11.02.24	Hugo Gaston - Denis Shapovalov	0:2 ✺
10.02.24	Denis Shapovalov - Maximilian Marterer	2:0 ✺
ATP Marseille
06.02.24	Hugo Gaston - Denis Shapovalov	2:1 ✺
ATP Montpellier
31.01.24	Denis Shapovalov - Alexander Bublik	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWWLL
- Andy Murray
ATP Doha
21.02.24	Andy Murray - Jakub Mensik	1:2 ✺
20.02.24	Alexandre Muller - Andy Murray	0:2 ✺
ATP Marseille
06.02.24	Tomas Machac - Andy Murray	2:0 ✺
ATP Montpellier
29.01.24	Andy Murray - Benoit Paire	1:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
15.01.24	Andy Murray - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Madrid
03.05.22	Andy Murray - Denis Shapovalov	2:1
ATP Wimbledon
02.07.21	Denis Shapovalov - Andy Murray	3:0

Denis Shapovalov - Andy Murray: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide